If I were a buy to let Landlord in Falmouth
today, I might feel a little bruised by the assault made on my wallet after being
ransacked (and continuing to be so) over the last 12 months by HM Treasury’s
tax changes on buy to let. To add insult to injury, Brexit has caused a
tempering of the Falmouth property market with property prices not increasing
at the levels we have seen in the last few years.
Could we indeed see a very slight drop in
property prices this year?
Falmouth Town Councils bid to introduce
(after mid-June) licencing of properties without an existing history of HMO
letting in Falmouth is surely likely to have an impact on values of student let
properties for example. This is because new Landlords will be cautious over
buying a property that does not have a history of HMO letting. It is not a
given that they will be granted a licence and will therefore hold off buying
properties for HMO letting. Conversely a property with a history of letting
might appear to be an even more valuable asset, if the granting of licences is
restricted. Watch this space!
There are some positives of falling house prices.
If Falmouth property prices do drop, this might encourage first time
buyers back into the market. This will help the development of sales chains. After
all property sales are reliant on new entrants at the bottom end of the market
to feed the chain above. Putting it simply for many, we cannot buy unless we
sell first.
If prices cool, yields will rise. This in turn will also
make it easier to obtain a buy to let mortgage. If property values come down enough,
that might persuade landlords to add to their portfolio. These are likely to be
marginal things for landlords but nonetheless positive.
Rental demand in Falmouth will remain solid. This is
reinforced by a growing sense of the way many young people view their ‘property
futures’.
I have just come back from a visit to my relations after a family get
together. I was speaking to a young couple, both are in their mid/late twenties,
both have decent jobs, and they rent. They are perhaps typical of ‘generation
rent’. Conversations about the possibility of one day being able to buy their
own homes bores them. Not because they don’t harbour a desire to be a homeowner
but because they see the dream as a hopeless one too distant to contemplate.
Firstly, they don’t want to put cash into property, they would rather
spend it on living and socialising, by going on nice holidays and buying the
latest tech and gadgets. They want the flexibility to live where they choose
and finally, they don’t like the idea of paying for repairs. All their friends
feel the same. Looking through the lenses of a forty something should I be
surprised that buying a house is just not top of the list for these youngsters?
Falmouth - Accommodation Type and the
Number of Occupiers
|
Owned outright - Falmouth
|
Owned with a mortgage - Falmouth
|
Shared ownership (part owned and part
rented) - Falmouth
|
Social rented (aka Council Housing)
- Falmouth
|
Private rented - Falmouth
|
Living rent free - Falmouth
|
6,628
|
7,227
|
137
|
3,237
|
5,171
|
284
|
29.2%
|
31.9%
|
0.6%
|
14.3%
|
22.8%
|
1.3%
|
With nearly 23% of Falmouth people already in rented accommodation (and set to
grow) now might just be a good time to buy property in Falmouth. After all what
else are you going to invest in? Give
your money to the stock market run by sharp suited city whizz kids? A holiday
of a lifetime in North Korea perhaps? Maybe
a donation to your favourite political party?
Nothing out there
is as good as bricks and mortar!
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